In his promotional campaigns, Arvind Kejriwal says that by 15 December, his Aam Admi Party would have catapulted to power in Delhi and by 29 December he will have a special session of the Assembly convened at Ramlila Maidan and will pass Anna Hazare’s Jan Lokpal Bill. Behind the unusual buoyancy is perhaps another advertisement, which states that Yogendra Yadav has predicted that his party will win 47 seats, a landslide victory with a three-fourth majority. By that implication, Delhiites will now queue up at polling stations on 4 December to simply fulfill a formality and then await the inevitable.

If it were true, the easiest of all 70 Assembly seats should be the one Arvind Kejriwal, his party’s obvious chief ministerial candidate, is contesting for his own election to Delhi Vidhan Sabha — from Gole Market constituency. He has by choice pitted himself against Chief Minister Sheila Dikshit. The BJP has entered the fray by nominating Vijendra Gupta, a weighty former Delhi unit party chief who steadily rose in the party ranks after first getting elected to the Delhi University Students Union. The contest in Gole Market should thus be the most interesting to understand the prospects of the AAP, unless Kejriwal springs a surprise and files his nomination from some other constituency or from more than one constituency. While various opinion polls offer somewhat contradictory pictures, ranging from Kejriwal’s own prediction of 47 seats to 18 seats for the AAP as predicted by the latest C-Voter survey and a whopping 19-25 seats in the CNN-IBN/CSDS count to a low of 8 seats by the India Today-ORG opinion polls, no one has, however, reflected on the personal fate of Kejriwal and other prominent AAP leaders.

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